Molecular nanotechnology (MNT), also known as molecular manufacturing, is the concept of building components, machines, and products from the bottom up, literally molecule by molecule, with every atom precisely placed. Of course, it doesn't exist yet, at least not in anything except the crudest form. A decade ago, researchers at IBM pulled off a famous stunt where they spelled out the company's logo in xenon atoms (1), and more recently molecules have been joined and split mechanically. But these feats were performed at extremely low temperatures and were painstakingly slow and difficult. In practical terms, we are still far from being capable of real molecular manufacturing. The whole concept is so complex and unfamiliar, and so staggering in its implications, that some scientists, engineers, and other pundits have flatly declared it to be impossible. Proponents, on the other hand, affirm that significant and rapid progress is being made. The debate is further confused by science-fictional hype and media misconceptions that obscure the picture and make it all too easy for policy-makers to ignore important realities. A major change, not noticed by many, is that the goal of today's MNT researchers is different from what it was 20 years ago, when most of these ideas first came to light. For the past 10 years, in fact, almost all serious work toward molecular manufacturing has focused on developing a limited molecular nanotechnology (LMNT). Early discussions about MNT asserted the ability to do almost anything that was theoretically possible with chemistry. This idea was rapidly attacked by many as being unworkable or at least too difficult. But unlike its big brother (MNT), LMNT would implement just a tiny fraction of possible chemistry. It aims to achieve a limited molecular manufacturing capability based only on carbon lattice configurations-diamond, graphite, and fullerenes-known collectively as "diamondoid". Working with a much smaller list of ingredients and far simpler recipes, LMNT will build shapes, components, and machines out of large, carefully fabricated, three-dimensional carbon molecules (with a few other atoms thrown in to extend the range of surfaces and shapes). But carbon is an extremely flexible material. Strong and light, opaque or transparent, insulating or conductive, it could replace almost every material and function in today's products. Researchers believe LMNT can produce most of the desired medical devices, advanced materials, and product innovation goals sought after today and will be significantly easier to accomplish. It must be emphasized, therefore, that LMNT's narrowed technological focus still enables a wide range of extraordinary applications, and many of the claims made for the disruptive effects of MNT are still valid. Molecular nanotechnology, even in its limited form, will be a significant breakthrough, comparable perhaps to the Industrial Revolution-but compressed into a few years. This has the potential to disrupt many aspects of society and politics.
Attempts to control these risks may lead to abusive restrictions, or create demand for a black market that would be very risky and almost impossible to stop; small LMNT manufacturing systems will be very easy to smuggle, and fully dangerous. There are numerous severe risks-of several different kinds-that cannot all be prevented with the same approach. Simple, one-track solutions cannot work. The right answer is unlikely to evolve without careful planning. On the other hand, LMNT can alleviate many of the world's current troubles.
There appears to be no technological barrier to achieving LMNT within the next decade or two. But the economic and political barriers are substantial: a crash development program would cost multiple billions of dollars, and many decision-makers do not fully realize the benefits or the dangers of direct control and manufacture of molecular-scale machines. The economic barriers will probably diminish far more quickly than the political barriers. Each year sees the development of new technologies, and the rapid refinement of existing ones. We can expect the cost and time required to drop swiftly; if an eight-year project starting in 2004 could do it for $5 billion, then by 2010, it may be feasible with a three-year project and $500 million. At that point, such a project would be well within the capability of many governments and even individual corporations. Recent studies by the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology show that the final stages of LMNT development may occur quite rapidly. A sudden announcement of success from an unexpected quarter could catch many people-and nervous nations with big militaries-by surprise. Development and application of molecular manufacturing policy must not be reactive. The problems, individually and collectively, could spiral out of control before today's institutions have time to react. If good policy is not designed and implemented in advance, the consequences could be severe. Unilateral development or control of the technology may lead to military or economic oppression. Simultaneous development could lead to an unstable arms race. Irresponsible release would make the full power of the technology available to terrorists, criminals, and dictators. The safest course appears to be a single, rapid, worldwide development program by a cooperative international organization that recognizes the necessity of wise administration-but accomplishing this will be anything but easy. Understanding and preparing for the potentially massive impacts of molecular nanotechnology should be a top priority for today's policy planners. (1) Click here for a TIFF file image.
NanoNews-Now Editor Rocky Rawstern interviews D. M. Berube (DMB), Ph.D (bio), Professor of Rhetoric and Communication Studies, University of South Carolina.
1. Please talk about some of the social, legal, cultural, ethical, religious, philosophical and political implications of molecular nanotechnology (MNT). DMB: MNT as currently anticipated will be applied nanoscience. As such, toxicological and environmental implications would be paramount. As nano-bio convergence develops, ethical and legal issues will surface, from post-humanism to patenting life. Whether MNT ever arrives... should it, then there would be social and political implication from work-leisure issues to questions associated with regulatory options. 2. What are your greatest concerns regarding the development of MNT? DMB: Focusing on MNT will divert interest and focus from applied nanoscience. While foresight is a great thing, deciding at what point on the horizon to anchor concerns is important. Concern is the wrong term for much of the fanciful speculation regarding mature MNT. Concern is not an open-sum phenomenon. Fatigue sets in when everything elicits concern. As such, I am concerned about nano-particles in sun screens and paints. 3. What are some of the things that become practical with mature MNT? DMB: MNT as envisioned by CRN and others would seem to enable anything and everything which can be built by placing the right building blocks together. What is chemically and physically possible becomes possible. 4. In your opinion, what should be done - starting right now - to mitigate (if not eliminate) the potential downsides to MNT, as well as to maximize the potential upsides? DMB: Study, study, and study some more. Involve the public, social scientists, and humanists. Vet the claims. Debunk the foolishness. What is needed is the Center for American Technological Preparedness as specified in the 21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act. Regulators need to use the broad expertise of all the actors noted above to promote safe and effective nanotechnology applications. Personally, I would expect something (like) the Kefauver Amendments to the Food, Drugs and Cosmetics Act applied to nano-products. If coupled with an invigorated Occupational Safety and Health Administration, and a rediscovered Consumer Product Safety "Administration, this tripartite may serve as a basis for a regulatory regime for processes and products. Manufacturing might demand a heightened liability regime matched with more standards regulatory structures, such as treaties and agreements. 5. Who are the players in the developing debate on nanoscale-materials technologies and MNT? What are they getting right? What are they getting wrong? DMB: The players: government, industry and citizen-consumers. The government has begun to be interested in societal and ethical implications of nanotechnology (SEIN). Whether as window dressing or not, we cannot tell though it appears to be promising. Industry has also been investigating SEIN such as NbA's HEITF (Health and Environmental Issues Task Force). Unfortunately, profit may blind corporates to liability concerns given the many ways companies, like a phoenix, rises from it's own ashes. The citizen-consumer is out of the loop. There is no public sphere for science and technology policy in the USA. Unless we scientiate the citizen-consumer we will find them among the troops recruited by an anti-nanotechnology transnational protest movement. 6. Who isn't participating in the debate that should be, and why? DMB: We need full participation. More social scientists, community leaders, and citizen-consumers need both time and space to engage in the debate. The process needed to promote involvement includes: (1) writing and rewriting the message (the nanotechnology story) to maximize its comprehensibility; (2) education and outreach in multiple venues: schools, town hall meetings, political campaigns, etc.; (3) have all parties meet in dialogue, as face-to-face as possible; and (4) assess, repair and repeat. 7. How best may we (organizations such as your's and our's) serve the need of enabling the dialog among all concerned? DMB: The University of South Carolina's nanoSTS may represent the beginning of public science interest groups. While some may be associated with higher education, that is not necessary. They will need to be encouraged and nurtured. There will be failed experiments and some confrontations, but if we can get past these, we will be the facilitator of a public sphere of sorts (I prefer the term "public") that will need to be available to debunk the cranks and meet the anti-nanotechnology movement on the plains of the techne. 8. Regarding the nanoscale sciences: Talk a little about education, where we're doing it right, where improvements can be made, and why. DMB: Start early. Students get turned off the science in primary school. Teachers need to teach science which takes more talent than only speaking science. How science can compete with popular culture has evaded thinkers better than me. Science and scientists are not as sexy as basketball stars or television personalities. Next, science needs to be taught juxtaposed to its application, technology. If viewed as two parts of the same phenomenon, we may be able to bring together many fields of study currently isolated by curriculum, sometimes geography. Good science education starts early, makes an effort to be relevant, and can only be sustained in an environment that reinforces the scientists and their work. 9. Given 10 years and an unlimited budget, could someone develop MNT in the form of a table-top factory? DMB: I am unsure what unlimited means but an infinite number of parallel research programs might get us there. While improbable, infinity has a way of making anything possible. 10. Regarding the likelihood that sooner or later someone will develop MNT: If you could gather all the leaders, decision-makers, politicians and opinion-shapers from around the world and speak to them collectively, what points would you make? DMB: Do less harm than good. Treat everyone with intrinsic worth and value. Invest in long-term scientific research since the free market does that poorly. Regulate as a last resort. Bans aren't solution but expression of failure. Listen to as many voices as you can. Participation is a process. 11. Again, given the likelihood that sooner or later someone will develop MNT If we start debating, discussing, and preparing for MNT, now, what is your best prognostication regarding the future of mankind in the next twenty five years? Next fifty? DMB: Humankind will survive technology by either (a) limiting what it is and can be used to do or (b) merging with it in some post-human rapture. I tend to prefer the former. In the next 25 years, we will confront many challenges to our humanity and advanced technologies, especially nanotechnology, will take us to their thresholds. We need to decide what our species is and what we want it to become. If we decide to produce a race of slave-machines, they had better be dumb because our species simply has a bad track record when it comes to interspecies interactions. In the next 50 years, we will probably be post-human with more than half of what we are as machinic rather than organic. What we think will be decided by who and what we are. What we become will be a function on how we define our humanity is a post-human world. 12. How would your respond to the following statement? "Nanotechnology's highest and best use should be to enable the creation of a world of abundance, where no one is lacking for their basic needs. Those needs include adequate food, safe water, a clean environment, housing, medical care, education, public safety, fair labor, travel, artistic expression and freedom from fear and oppression."
DMB: Sounds great. I hope we get through the next 5 years. Nanotechnology will profoundly affect war-fighting. In the war against terrorism, our armies will bring its best technologies onto the battlefield. Nano-weapons (meaning nanotechnology enhanced weaponry) scare me. Proliferation of nano-weapons might foreclose any of the benefits in the statement made in #12. "Goo" is nothing to be feared. Purposeful use as a tool to exterminate our enemies is much more provocative. Freedom needs to survive terrorism and that might be overly optimistic.
NanoNews-Now Editor Rocky Rawstern interviews Vic Peña, CEO, nanoTITAN, Inc., and Member of the PCAST Nanotechnology Technical Advisory Group (NTAG). 1. Please talk about some of the social, legal, cultural, ethical, religious, philosophical and political implications of molecular nanotechnology (MNT). VP: I believe that molecular nanotechnology will profoundly impact the entire socio-economic-technological spectrum of the human experience for the betterment of all humankind. This profound impact will be progressive, with increasing promise to improve the lives of humankind. As MNT becomes reality, challenges to the framework and values of our present societies worldwide will surface. The legal profession, and political entities, will find that current laws and policies will have to be improved to meet the demands of intellectual property protection, producers' liability, and consumer protection. Most certainly also, National Security. Concurrent with the development of MNT, political involvement in the establishment of laws and oversight needs to occur. International covenants and treaties will have to be developed to assure the lawful, orderly, and peaceful proliferation of MNT's promise. I would see something akin to the Geneva Convention as a set of guidelines from which to establish an international standard for the use and implementation of MNT worldwide. This said, I would not like a constraining bureaucracy to impede the research and development of the scientific and technological discoveries yet to take place, "for the betterment of all mankind". There is an educational aspect to this also, as not only will our schools and universities be required to graduate scientists and engineers, but whole new generations of business, law, policy, and social studies graduates will be needed to provide the societal balance required for MNT to have a beneficial effect on humankind. Finally, ethical, religious, and philosophical beliefs will be tasked, and the tenets upon which these beliefs are built will have to withstand some of the assaults that they will surely experience. Science can be a powerful argument, and our values built upon ethics, religion and philosophy must recognize that a whole new era is upon us. 2. What are your greatest concerns regarding the development of MNT? VP: Quite simply, that MNT may be used in some quarters for other than "for the betterment of all mankind". 3. What are some of the things that become practical with mature MNT?
VP: The National Nanotechnology Initiative has spelled its the Grand Challenge Areas:
Each of these holds a promise for the improvement of our lives and research and development is progressing in multiple fronts, Academia, the Federal Government, Industry, and myriad consortiums at the States and Local levels. Breakthroughs in technology are being announced on a daily basis, and "The Diamond Age" (our term for when MNT is ubiquitous and mankind prospers from it) is dawning upon us. 4. In your opinion, what should be done - starting right now - to mitigate (if not eliminate) the potential downsides to MNT, as well as to maximize the potential upsides? VP: I stated earlier, that we (our National Leadership) should be considering a Geneva Convention like structure to focus on the peaceful evolution and development of MNT. Additionally, Educational Institutions as well as Academia should begin preparing for the demands that MNT will bring upon us all. I believe that if people are educated both as a work force, and as consumers, the advantages of MNT will be demanded and the nefarious uses that it can pose will be constrained or at least controlled. 5. Who are the players in the developing debate on nanoscale-materials technologies and MNT? What are they getting right? What are they getting wrong? VP: I believe that the debate is certainly open to all that want to join it. My concern is the hype that is surrounding MNT today. I am optimistic about the promise of MNT, but caution against promising too much, as well as doomsaying the entire science. 6. Who isn't participating in the debate that should be, and why? VP: I am not aware of anyone being left out. 7. How best may we (organizations such as your's and our's) serve the need of enabling the dialog among all concerned? VP: We continue to show the promise, and this is especially so with companies such as ours that are ethically based and follow principled development of our products and services. 8. Regarding the nanoscale sciences: Talk a little about education, where we're doing it right, where improvements can be made, and why. VP: I think that we, the United States of America, are not producing enough talent in the sciences and technologies to maintain our lead in nanotechnology. But beyond the scientists and engineer nanotechnologists, we need to focus on the requirements that nanotechnology will put on our business, legal, policy, and social graduates. One great program recently came to my attention, and that is the "Nano*High" Program at UC Berkley, where every Saturday, lectures and lab tours are offered for free to any interested high school student. This is a great model and should be emulated Nation-wide. 10. Regarding the likelihood that sooner or later someone will develop MNT: If you could gather all the leaders, decision-makers, politicians and opinion-shapers from around the world and speak to them collectively, what points would you make? VP: See my comments in 4. Above. 11. Again, given the likelihood that sooner or later someone will develop MNT: If we start debating, discussing, and preparing for MNT, now, what is your best prognostication regarding the future of mankind in the next twenty five years? Next fifty? VP: Like I said, I am an optimist about MNT, so long as we start preparing for the Diamond Age now. 12. How would your respond to the following statement? "Nanotechnology's highest and best use should be to enable the creation of a world of abundance, where no one is lacking for their basic needs. Those needs include adequate food, safe water, a clean environment, housing, medical care, education, public safety, fair labor, travel, artistic expression and freedom from fear and oppression." VP: I whole-heartedly agree with it. But I also know that there are going to be many bumps along the road of MNT evolution.
In closing, these quotes:From Our Molecular Future, by Douglas Mulhall:
"The idea is simple, yet powerful: The American economy will grow bigger if America's science and engineering focus on things that are smaller. The U.S. is a leader in nanotech...We must remain in the front." Rep. Sherwood Boehlert (R-N.Y.), Chairman of the Science Committee. link Referring to the just-passed "21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act," Kristen Kulinowski of The Center for Biological and Environmental Nanotechnology said: "An open and honest evaluation of all the potential impacts of nanotechnology is vital to the long-term success of nanotechnology. By promoting research on both the beneficial applications and potential implications of nanotechnology, this provision ensures that nanotechnology's benefits are maximized." And Mark Modzelewski, executive director of the NanoBusiness Alliance, this: "When one looks at the next 100 years of human development and the growth of the global economy, no vote taken by Congress in the past decade will have a greater effect then today's overwhelming passage of the nanotechnology bill." He further says "You can't drill it into people's heads enough: Nanotechnology is going to affect every industry that manufacturers something, in different ways at different times and at different levels." Read the entire bill: 21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act (PDF 64k) $809.8 million for fiscal year (FY) 2005, $889.6 million for FY 2006, $955.4 million for FY 2007, and $1024.1 million for FY 2008. "We now stand at the threshold of an age in which materials and devices can be fashioned atom by atom. The capability will have enormous consequences for the information industry, for manufacturing, and for medicine and health." he said on the House floor prior to the November 20 vote." Rep. Sherwood Boehlert (R-NY), chairman of the House Science Committee and one of the bill's sponsors. "This legislation should help facilitate the synergy between the biological sciences and material sciences," said Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) ---- "To ensure that the United States takes the lead in this new and promising field of science and technology, we must provide for the organization and guidance necessary to foster interaction between government, academia and industry," Lieberman said. "The Senate passage of this legislation today brings us a step closer to providing a strong framework to elicit contributions from all three sectors and move nanotechnology research and development to the next level." Added Allen, "Nanotechnology is a 'bottom-up' approach much like building a sculpture atom-by-atom and molecule-by-molecule instead of cutting it from a larger rock. As this technology grows, its impact will be felt throughout the economy as the market for new applications grows and thousands of new jobs are created." link Nanoscience and nanotechnology refer to research at the scale of 100 nanometers or less. Applications range across material science, information technologies, environmental benefits, and medicine. "Nanoscale science and technology offer the opportunity to understand life processes at a deeper level, cure and prevent disease, heal injured bodies, and protect society against chemical and biological weapons," concluded a study by the National Academy of Sciences in 2002. "To realize the potential of nanoscale science and technology in advanced medicine will require research at the interface between engineering, the physical sciences, and biology." link "This historic legislation is an investment in American innovation and economic growth. America has always been on the leading-edge of exploring new frontiers and this new science is no exception. Nanotechnology has the potential to revolutionize industry, changing the things we make and the way we make them -- literally from the bottom up. This legislation will help make those possibilities a reality." Phil Bond, Undersecretary of the US Dept. of Commerce "This bill should insure US dominance followed by a even larger flow in nanotechnology. It will be of capital from the financial markets into nanotechnology industry. I expect this to ignite an exponential growth in entrepreneurial activity in nanotechnology." Larry Bock, CEO of NanoSys Inc. "Regardless of the choice of terms, it is crucial to recognize the confusion ... including its effects on both press accounts and the response of lab scientists to the longer-term vision. Allaying false fears (and false denials of fears) begins with drawing the correct distinctions." Eric Drexler. For further research, here are pages we found valuable: Read "What is Nanotechnology?" by Tim Harper to get an overview. See also Introduction to Nanoscience by Prof. Vicki Colvin, Rice University Department of Chemistry and Center for Nanoscale Science and Technology. Ten-Year Assembler Timeline and Weather Forecast Molecular Manufacturing: Start Planning Safe Utilization of Advanced Nanotechnology
IN THE NEXT ISSUEIssue #7 will cover Change Management, and will feature a main article by Dave Sharron, CEO and Principal Consultant of CASE Associates Inc. His firm specializes in IT strategic planning, project management, business/system process improvement, risk assessment, quality assurance, systems planning, and technology evaluation, selection, and deployment.. It will land in your mailbox January 5th, 2004. Infamous Quotes:
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." (Ken Olsen, Digital Equipment Corp, 1977)
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